Before Jan 1, 2027
Why it moved: −5 points at 13:25 UTC, after Variety: ‘Bowie80’ to Celebrate David Bowie’s 80th Birthday With Events, Exhibits, Releases and More Throughout 2027 — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 64% |
| 5 Oct, 13:25 UTC | 64% |
| 1 Oct, 22:13 UTC | 69% |
| 30 Sept, 16:25 UTC | 72% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame completes its 50,000-square-foot museum expansion in Cleveland before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that specific construction project does not finish by that deadline. Readers often mistake the linked concert tour announcements for the resolution criteria.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 64%
- No 36%