California
Implied probability 4%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$16k
Liquidity$16k
Resolves31 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 4% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Tesla offers its robotaxi service to the general public in California before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake this deadline for the date of any news report about robotaxis rather than the actual launch date.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%