Yes
Implied probability 12%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 12% |
| 14 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 12% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Florentino Pérez ceases to be President of Real Madrid during 2026. The outcome is No if he remains in that role for the entire year. Readers often mistake the linked story about Vinicius Junior’s ban as relevant, but only Pérez's presidency status matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 12%
- No 88%