Above 6
Implied probability 9%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves9 Mar 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 13 Oct, 21:38 UTC | 9% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Rocket Lab launches more than six vehicles in the third quarter of 2026. It resolves to No if the company launches six or fewer vehicles during that same period. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a 2027 delay as relevant, but only actual launch counts in Q3 2026 determine the outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 9%
- No 91%