Before Nov 1, 2026
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$205
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Sept, 19:33 UTC | 1% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Paramount officially announces a move of its corporate headquarters outside the greater Los Angeles area after this question is issued and before November 1, 2026. It resolves to No if no such announcement occurs within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a merger settlement for the required headquarters relocation.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%