Mississippi
Implied probability 13%+6
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$16k
Liquidity$16k
Resolves3 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 13% |
| 27 Oct, 11:37 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Oct, 10:12 UTC | 8% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Mississippi has the largest Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democrat wins a 2026 U.S. Senate seat. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked news story about campaign spending for the actual resolution criteria, which depends solely on specific election results.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 13%
- No 87%