Sam Altman
Implied probability 7%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 6 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 7% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Sam Altman ranks in the top five people on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global list. The outcome is No if he does not appear in that specific ranking. Readers often mistake this for a general popularity contest rather than a strict requirement to be in the official Google Year in Search 2026 People category.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 93%