Elon Musk
Implied probability 6%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 15:14 UTC | 6% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Elon Musk appears in the top five results for Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People category. The outcome depends entirely on Google’s official ranking list for that specific year. Readers often mistake this for a general popularity contest rather than a strict requirement to hit the top five spot on that specific Google report.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%