Vladimir Putin
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 23:56 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Vladimir Putin ranks as the number one search result on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People list for the year 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the ranking must be confirmed before December 31, 2026, rather than being based on the final annual list released by Google.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%