Sam Altman
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 6 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Sam Altman ranks as the number one person in Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global list. The outcome is No if he does not hold that top spot. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline, but the actual trigger is only his ranking on the specific 2026 search results.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%