Elon Musk
Implied probability 4%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$62k
Liquidity$62k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 15:14 UTC | 4% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Elon Musk ranks as the number one search result on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People list for the year 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the ranking deadline or assume any high search volume counts instead of the specific #1 spot on that official Google list.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%