Before Jan 1, 2027
Why it moved: +38 points at 10:03 UTC, after kyivindependent.com: Russia releases US prisoner Stephen Hubbard during Witkoff visit — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 57% |
| 21 Oct, 10:03 UTC | 57% |
| 20 Oct, 20:10 UTC | 19% |
| 16 Oct, 18:15 UTC | 16% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Vladimir Putin visits the United States between now and January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he does not make that visit within this timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about sanctions for the actual trigger, but only a physical visit by Putin counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 57%
- No 43%