Russia
Your call. How does this end?
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Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet in Russia before January 1, 2029. This meeting must occur after their scheduled August 15, 2025 encounter in Alaska. Readers often mistake the location of the earlier Alaska meeting for the decisive event, but only a subsequent meeting on Russian soil counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 93%