Donald J. Trump
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$103k
Total volume$4.7M
Liquidity$4.7M
Resolves7 Nov 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 3% |
| 6 Oct, 03:03 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Oct, 02:07 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 16:32 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 06:19 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 00:44 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 16:09 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 11:03 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald J. Trump wins and accepts the Republican presidential nomination in 2028. The outcome is No if he does not win or accept that nomination. Readers often mistake the linked news story about sharing a phone number as the deciding factor, but only the official 2028 nomination status matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%