Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Implied probability 14%+1
24-hour volume$7k
Total volume$9.6M
Liquidity$9.6M
Resolves7 Nov 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 3 Oct, 11:21 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Oct, 07:57 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Oct, 06:53 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Oct, 04:24 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Oct, 02:53 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 23:32 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 20:11 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 19:43 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 15:51 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 12:30 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 12:08 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 11:29 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 09:30 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 09:17 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 08:32 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 07:35 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 06:24 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 04:46 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 04:15 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 01:40 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 01:13 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 00:30 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 20:42 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 20:29 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 19:12 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 09:45 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 07:02 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 05:20 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 01:05 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 00:15 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 22:29 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 21:31 UTC | 15% |
| 30 Sept, 21:16 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 19:17 UTC | 15% |
| 30 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 15% |
| 30 Sept, 13:38 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 04:55 UTC | 15% |
| 30 Sept, 01:01 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Sept, 23:46 UTC | 15% |
| 29 Sept, 22:30 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 15% |
| 29 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 15% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Sept, 09:57 UTC | 15% |
| 28 Sept, 08:38 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 15% |
| 27 Sept, 23:37 UTC | 14% |
| 27 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 16% |
| 27 Sept, 18:44 UTC | 15% |
| 27 Sept, 16:16 UTC | 16% |
| 27 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 15% |
| 27 Sept, 13:55 UTC | 16% |
| 27 Sept, 12:39 UTC | 15% |
| 27 Sept, 09:02 UTC | 16% |
| 27 Sept, 06:34 UTC | 15% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 16% |
| 27 Sept, 01:41 UTC | 15% |
| 27 Sept, 00:34 UTC | 16% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 15% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 16% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 15% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 16% |
| 26 Sept, 13:50 UTC | 15% |
| 26 Sept, 12:13 UTC | 16% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if AOC wins and accepts the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake a potential announcement or speculation for an actual acceptance of the nomination.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 14%
- No 86%