Israel
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Pope Leo XIV physically travels to and is present within Israel's geographic boundaries before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about Ireland players for the resolution criteria, but only the Pope's physical presence matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%