Before 2027
Why it moved: −8 points at 21:54 UTC, after Fortune: Judge orders Mamdani administration to cancel pied-à-terre tax notices and start over — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 52% |
| 29 Sept, 21:54 UTC | 52% |
| 28 Sept, 21:00 UTC | 60% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if a New York State court grants preliminary or permanent injunctive or annulment relief against the city's pied-à-terre surcharge in O'Brien v. City of New York before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if such relief is not granted within that timeframe.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 52%
- No 48%