Jordan Spieth
The market favoured Yes at 54% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$749
Total volume$26k
Liquidity$26k
Resolved8 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 12 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 99% |
| 8 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 17% |
| 8 Oct, 13:43 UTC | 16% |
| 8 Oct, 12:31 UTC | 17% |
| 8 Oct, 11:11 UTC | 16% |
| 8 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 21% |
| 8 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 33% |
| 8 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 40% |
| 8 Oct, 00:06 UTC | 36% |
| 6 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 33% |
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%