Rasmus Hojgaard
The market favoured No at 95% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 5%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolved1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 4 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 5% |
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%