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Taylor Swift

Implied probability 6%−61
24-hour volume$69
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves15 Feb 2027

Why it moved: −61 points at 19:18 UTC, after CBS Sports Headlines: Rams' Matthew Stafford makes surprise cameo in Taylor Swift's new music video — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Taylor Swift
0%50%100%6%22 Sept, 20:37 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now6%
28 Sept, 19:18 UTC6%
28 Sept, 01:36 UTC67%
26 Sept, 00:49 UTC4%
24 Sept, 23:39 UTC72%
22 Sept, 20:37 UTC45%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Taylor Swift performs at or is announced to perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show on February 14, 2027. It resolves to No if she does not perform during that specific event timeframe. Readers often mistake other public appearances, such as showing a wedding ring, for a confirmation of the halftime performance.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 6%
  • No 94%

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