Above 60
Implied probability 99%+1
24-hour volume$9k
Total volume$15k
Liquidity$15k
Resolves8 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 22 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 99% |
| 21 Oct, 12:53 UTC | 98% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Carbon Arc Peacock App Downloads for October 2026 exceed 60. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked earnings report as the deciding factor, but only the specific app download data counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%