Above 3250 mboed
Implied probability 89%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves26 May 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 89% |
| 9 Nov, 23:40 UTC | 89% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Petrobras reports total oil and gas production above 3250 mboed in fiscal 2026. It resolves to No if the reported figure is 3250 mboed or lower. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of calendar year 2026, but the resolution depends on the fiscal year report.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 89%
- No 11%