Elsinore
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$491
Total volume$162k
Liquidity$162k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 2 Nov, 12:51 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the film Elsinore wins the Best Picture award at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if it does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake other nominations or wins for this outcome, but only a Best Picture victory counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%