Project Hail Mary
Implied probability 87%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 87% |
| 17 Oct, 06:44 UTC | 87% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if the film receives a nomination for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards; otherwise, it is No. Readers often mistake the release of the VFX breakdown article as the deciding factor, but only an official Oscar nomination counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 87%
- No 13%