Elsinore
Implied probability 32%+2
24-hour volume$102
Total volume$15k
Liquidity$15k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 14:18 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 05:04 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 23:01 UTC | 33% |
| 2 Nov, 11:57 UTC | 30% |
| 1 Nov, 18:18 UTC | 35% |
| 1 Nov, 14:37 UTC | 34% |
| 27 Oct, 22:44 UTC | 32% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the film Elsinore receives a nomination for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the release date or festival premiere for the official nomination announcement.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 32%
- No 68%