Digger
Implied probability 23%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$75k
Liquidity$75k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 23% |
| 12 Oct, 20:43 UTC | 23% |
| 12 Oct, 11:32 UTC | 22% |
| 11 Oct, 23:43 UTC | 23% |
| 11 Oct, 19:33 UTC | 24% |
| 11 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 22% |
| 11 Oct, 17:48 UTC | 22% |
| 11 Oct, 15:40 UTC | 19% |
| 11 Oct, 04:09 UTC | 23% |
| 11 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 23% |
| 10 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 19% |
| 10 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 23% |
| 10 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 20% |
| 10 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 23% |
| 10 Oct, 07:30 UTC | 19% |
| 10 Oct, 05:00 UTC | 22% |
| 10 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 20% |
| 10 Oct, 03:13 UTC | 23% |
| 10 Oct, 00:39 UTC | 19% |
| 10 Oct, 00:12 UTC | 21% |
| 9 Oct, 12:38 UTC | 17% |
| 9 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 13% |
| 9 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 15% |
| 8 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 14% |
| 8 Oct, 23:03 UTC | 11% |
| 8 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 16% |
| 8 Oct, 20:34 UTC | 15% |
| 8 Oct, 19:39 UTC | 11% |
| 8 Oct, 15:36 UTC | 14% |
| 8 Oct, 13:43 UTC | 15% |
| 8 Oct, 12:38 UTC | 13% |
| 8 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 16% |
| 8 Oct, 03:08 UTC | 15% |
| 8 Oct, 02:40 UTC | 13% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 16% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 18% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 13% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 25% |
| 6 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 13% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the film Digger receives a nomination for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the premiere date or critical reception for the resolution criteria, but only an official Oscar nomination counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 23%
- No 77%