Penélope Cruz
Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 4 Oct, 17:32 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Penélope Cruz receives a nomination for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if she does not receive such a nomination. Readers often mistake the linked podcast interview as evidence of a nomination, but only an official Academy nomination counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%