Tom Cruise
Implied probability 60%+2
24-hour volume$100
Total volume$71k
Liquidity$71k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 60% |
| 21 Oct, 19:10 UTC | 60% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Tom Cruise receives a nomination for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. The outcome is No if he does not receive that specific nomination. Readers often mistake box office performance or other awards for the deciding factor, but only an official Best Actor nomination counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 60%
- No 40%