Sebastian Stan
Implied probability 18%−1
24-hour volume$14
Total volume$16k
Liquidity$16k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 18% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 18% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 16% |
| 6 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 19% |
| 5 Oct, 16:40 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Oct, 21:03 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Oct, 19:22 UTC | 16% |
| 3 Oct, 06:01 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Oct, 05:29 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Oct, 02:40 UTC | 24% |
| 2 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 23% |
| 2 Oct, 00:49 UTC | 21% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Alert me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Sebastian Stan receives a nomination for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if he does not receive that specific nomination. Readers often mistake any award win or general recognition for an official Oscar nomination.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 18%
- No 82%