England
Implied probability 81%−1
24-hour volume$16k
Total volume$19k
Liquidity$19k
Resolves29 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 81% |
| 27 Sept, 01:24 UTC | 80% |
| 27 Sept, 00:42 UTC | 81% |
| 26 Sept, 23:34 UTC | 80% |
| 26 Sept, 23:17 UTC | 81% |
| 26 Sept, 22:14 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Sept, 20:44 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Sept, 20:04 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Sept, 16:56 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Sept, 15:56 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Sept, 08:38 UTC | 81% |
| 26 Sept, 08:02 UTC | 79% |
| 26 Sept, 06:48 UTC | 81% |
| 26 Sept, 03:16 UTC | 81% |
| 26 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Sept, 00:17 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Sept, 19:10 UTC | 83% |
| 25 Sept, 12:38 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Sept, 12:04 UTC | 82% |
| 24 Sept, 11:38 UTC | 0% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if England wins the men's ODI cricket match against Sri Lanka scheduled for September 27, 2026. It resolves to No if England does not win that specific game. Readers often mistake this outcome for the women's rugby match between England and New Zealand mentioned in the linked story.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 81%
- No 19%