Before Dec 1, 2026
Implied probability 8%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 21 Oct, 10:17 UTC | 8% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump signs an executive order renaming an ocean between now and December 1, 2026. The outcome is No if no such signed action occurs by that date. Readers often mistake the news headline for the resolution, but only a signed executive order counts, not just a statement or plan.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 92%