Before 2029
Implied probability 13%+6
24-hour volume$11
Total volume$105k
Liquidity$105k
Resolves1 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 13% |
| 4 Oct, 07:12 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 7% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Supreme Court of the United States overturns Obergefell v. Hodges between now and December 31, 2028. The outcome is No if this does not happen within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a different case for the actual resolution event.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 13%
- No 87%