NewsMarkets

Markets

Tim Cook

Implied probability 3%−7
24-hour volume$527k
Total volume$556k
Liquidity$556k
Resolves1 Jan 2029

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Does the market have this right?

Alert me when the odds move

Email: we send a link to confirm first, and you can unsubscribe in one click. Browser notifications need no email and are turned off on the Following page. At most one alert every six hours either way. Privacy

What counts

The outcome is Yes if Tim Cook becomes the CEO of NVIDIA before January 1, 2029. The outcome is No if he does not take that role by that date. Readers often mistake the linked story about Jensen Huang’s resignation as the resolution event, but only Cook’s appointment matters.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 3%
  • No 97%

Trade this market on Kalshi →

Embed this market

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.