Penrith Panthers
Implied probability 1%−49
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves30 Nov 2028
Why it moved: −49 points at 01:19 UTC, after The Guardian Sport: Newcastle find themselves the NRL’s fairytale team after scarcely believable return to glory | Nick Tedeschi — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 28 Sept, 01:19 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 50% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Penrith Panthers win the 2026 National Rugby League Championship. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific title. Readers often mistake reaching a preliminary final for winning the championship.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%