New Orleans: 2+ wins in first 4 weeks
The market favoured Yes at 62% a day out, but No won. How often it's right
Final probability 5%
24-hour volume$135
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolved13 Oct 2026
Why it moved: −57 points at 05:47 UTC, after Latest articles: Falcons thump Saints 45-24 as New Orleans marks Katrina anniversary — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 6 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 5% |
| 5 Oct, 04:45 UTC | 62% |
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%