David Bailey records 3+ sacks in a single game
The market favoured No at 97% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolved12 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 11 Oct, 23:50 UTC | 99% |
| 10 Oct, 22:45 UTC | 3% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if David Bailey records three or more sacks in one game during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. The outcome is No if he fails to reach that mark in any single game within that specific season. Readers often mistake the linked story's event for the resolution criteria, but only games played during the 2026-27 regular season count toward this market.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%