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Jared Goff

Implied probability 59%+14
24-hour volume$235
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves2 Feb 2027

Why it moved: +14 points at 17:37 UTC, after Times of India: Can Jared Goff pass Joe Montana this week? Lions QB needs just 128 yards — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Jared Goff
0%50%100%59%1 Oct, 17:21 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now59%
2 Oct, 17:37 UTC59%
1 Oct, 17:21 UTC45%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Jared Goff throws for at least 4500 passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. It resolves to No if he falls short of that total in that specific timeframe. Readers often mistake the deadline, assuming the count includes playoff games or ends after the current season.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 59%
  • No 41%

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