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Trevor Lawrence

Implied probability 69%+23
24-hour volume$5
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves2 Feb 2027

Why it moved: +23 points at 22:53 UTC, after www.espn.com: 'Bhayshul touchdown is cool': Trevor Lawrence's 1-yard line kneel hurt fantasy managers more than the actual game — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Trevor Lawrence
0%50%100%69%26 Sept, 22:08 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now69%
27 Sept, 22:53 UTC69%
26 Sept, 22:08 UTC46%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if Trevor Lawrence throws for at least 4,000 yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season. The outcome is No if he falls short of that total or does not play enough games to qualify. Readers often mistake the linked story about a specific kneel as relevant, but only his total passing yards for the entire season count toward resolution.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 69%
  • No 31%

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