Michael Penix Jr.
Implied probability 84%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves2 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 84% |
| 7 Oct, 17:52 UTC | 84% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Michael Penix Jr. throws for at least 3,000 yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. It resolves to No if he fails to reach that total within those specific games. Readers often mistake the linked story about his debut as the resolution trigger, but only the final season yardage count matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 84%
- No 16%