Joe Burrow
Why it moved: −6 points at 19:57 UTC, after www.espn.com: Bengals go Real Madrid: Burrow, Chase, Higgins celebrate in Spain — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 29% |
| 8 Nov, 19:57 UTC | 29% |
| 5 Nov, 04:34 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 03:58 UTC | 29% |
| 5 Nov, 00:16 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 16:49 UTC | 23% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Joe Burrow throws at least 40 passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. It resolves to No if he falls short of that total. Readers often mistake the linked game result for the deciding factor, but only his total touchdown count in the full regular season matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 29%
- No 71%