Las Vegas
Why it moved: +3 points at 00:22 UTC, after SI Feed: Biggest Takeaways From Raiders Road Win Over Saints — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 36% |
| 28 Sept, 01:28 UTC | 36% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 37% |
| 28 Sept, 00:22 UTC | 36% |
| 26 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 33% |
| 26 Sept, 03:16 UTC | 32% |
| 26 Sept, 02:32 UTC | 33% |
| 26 Sept, 02:24 UTC | 31% |
| 26 Sept, 00:17 UTC | 32% |
| 25 Sept, 20:25 UTC | 31% |
| 25 Sept, 18:07 UTC | 32% |
| 25 Sept, 16:19 UTC | 31% |
| 25 Sept, 15:27 UTC | 32% |
| 25 Sept, 13:11 UTC | 31% |
| 25 Sept, 12:11 UTC | 32% |
| 24 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 33% |
| 24 Sept, 20:10 UTC | 32% |
| 24 Sept, 17:42 UTC | 33% |
| 24 Sept, 16:40 UTC | 31% |
| 24 Sept, 15:11 UTC | 33% |
| 24 Sept, 14:44 UTC | 32% |
| 24 Sept, 14:28 UTC | 33% |
| 24 Sept, 12:55 UTC | 32% |
| 24 Sept, 06:37 UTC | 33% |
| 24 Sept, 04:17 UTC | 32% |
| 24 Sept, 03:13 UTC | 32% |
| 24 Sept, 02:18 UTC | 33% |
| 23 Sept, 23:48 UTC | 32% |
| 23 Sept, 23:27 UTC | 33% |
| 23 Sept, 22:48 UTC | 31% |
| 23 Sept, 20:20 UTC | 33% |
| 23 Sept, 17:11 UTC | 32% |
| 23 Sept, 16:49 UTC | 30% |
| 23 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 32% |
| 23 Sept, 14:40 UTC | 30% |
| 23 Sept, 12:14 UTC | 32% |
| 23 Sept, 10:42 UTC | 31% |
| 22 Sept, 10:32 UTC | 47% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Las Vegas Raiders win their game against the Kansas City Chiefs on October 4, 2026. It resolves to No if they lose or tie. Readers often mistake the linked story about a past Chargers game as the deciding factor, but only the specific Chiefs matchup matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 36%
- No 64%