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Patrick Mahomes

Implied probability 18%+12
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves29 Sept 2026

Why it moved: +12 points at 21:50 UTC, after SI Feed: Patrick Mahomes Proud of but Not Thrilled With Chiefs' Week 3 Win: 'We Can Be Better' — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Patrick Mahomes
0%50%100%18%26 Sept, 20:59 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now18%
27 Sept, 21:50 UTC18%
26 Sept, 20:59 UTC6%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Patrick Mahomes scores the most full-PPR fantasy points among all quarterbacks in Week 3 of the 2026 NFL regular season. It resolves to No if he does not finish first. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking any week counts instead of specifically Week 3.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 18%
  • No 82%

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