David Bailey
Why it moved: −4 points at 00:53 UTC, after www.espn.com: 'Phenomenal' Bailey authors breakthrough performance in Jets' win — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 33% |
| 12 Oct, 21:40 UTC | 33% |
| 12 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 32% |
| 12 Oct, 20:09 UTC | 33% |
| 12 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 32% |
| 12 Oct, 16:39 UTC | 33% |
| 12 Oct, 15:14 UTC | 34% |
| 12 Oct, 14:04 UTC | 33% |
| 12 Oct, 13:02 UTC | 32% |
| 12 Oct, 12:05 UTC | 33% |
| 12 Oct, 10:47 UTC | 32% |
| 12 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 31% |
| 12 Oct, 07:47 UTC | 32% |
| 12 Oct, 06:39 UTC | 31% |
| 12 Oct, 02:28 UTC | 32% |
| 12 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 32% |
| 12 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 36% |
| 11 Oct, 23:56 UTC | 30% |
| 7 Oct, 11:34 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 7% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if David Bailey is named the AP Defensive Rookie of the Year for the 2026-27 NFL season. It resolves to No if he does not receive this specific award. Readers often mistake any other defensive honors or team success for the official criterion, but only the AP award counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 33%
- No 67%