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1: Tampa Bay / 2: New Orleans / 3: Carolina / 4: Atlanta

Implied probability 5%+4
24-hour volume$73
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves1 Feb 2027

Why it moved: +4 points at 16:19 UTC, after SI Feed: Texans Week 3 Consensus Power Rankings: Where Houston Stands at 0-2 — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · 1: Tampa Bay / 2: New Orleans / 3: Carolina / 4: Atlanta
0%50%100%5%22 Sept, 15:41 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now5%
23 Sept, 16:19 UTC5%
22 Sept, 15:41 UTC1%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Tampa Bay finishes first, New Orleans second, Carolina third, and Atlanta fourth in the NFC South at the end of the 2026-27 regular season. It resolves to No for any other final standing order. Readers often mistake this prediction for a weekly ranking update rather than a final season-long classification.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 5%
  • No 95%

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