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Does not start in the regular season

Implied probability 1%−52
24-hour volume$100
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves19 Jan 2027

Why it moved: −52 points at 12:33 UTC, after feeds.bleacherreport.com: New NFL Rumors on Carson Beck's Timeline to Become Cardinals QB1 Amid 1-4 Start to Season — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Does not start in the regular season
0%50%100%1%13 Oct, 11:35 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now1%
14 Oct, 12:33 UTC1%
13 Oct, 11:35 UTC53%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Carson Beck is not listed as the starting quarterback on the official depth chart for any week of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. It resolves to No if he appears as the starter on that chart at least once during those weeks. Readers often mistake preseason games or practice squad listings for official regular-season starts.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 1%
  • No 99%

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