Michael Penix Jr.
Implied probability 12%−1
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$97k
Liquidity$97k
Resolves21 Feb 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 12% |
| 8 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 12% |
| 8 Oct, 17:01 UTC | 10% |
| 8 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 12% |
| 8 Oct, 06:18 UTC | 14% |
| 8 Oct, 05:30 UTC | 13% |
| 8 Oct, 00:13 UTC | 12% |
| 7 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 13% |
| 7 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 8% |
| 7 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 13% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 13% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 11% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 14% |
| 6 Oct, 06:33 UTC | 13% |
| 6 Oct, 05:34 UTC | 14% |
| 6 Oct, 05:15 UTC | 13% |
| 6 Oct, 04:16 UTC | 12% |
| 6 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 12% |
| 6 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 21:47 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 8% |
| 5 Oct, 18:28 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Oct, 12:10 UTC | 11% |
| 5 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 8% |
| 5 Oct, 02:07 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Oct, 20:32 UTC | 18% |
| 4 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Oct, 16:55 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Oct, 16:18 UTC | 7% |
| 4 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 6% |
| 4 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 6% |
| 4 Oct, 01:52 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Oct, 23:35 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 8% |
| 2 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 9% |
| 2 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 10% |
| 2 Oct, 14:28 UTC | 9% |
| 2 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 7% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 10% |
| 2 Oct, 01:33 UTC | 7% |
| 2 Oct, 00:16 UTC | 10% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Michael Penix Jr. wins the Pro Football AP Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 season. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake the linked story about his debut as the resolution criteria, but only the official award result matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 12%
- No 88%