Warren Buffett
Implied probability 3%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Jan 2033
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 7 Nov, 14:05 UTC | 3% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Forbes reports that Warren Buffett reaches a net worth of at least $1 trillion USD before January 1, 2033. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the source of truth, but only Forbes reports count for this resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%