Toronto Maple Leafs
Implied probability 3%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 28 Sept, 05:25 UTC | 3% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Connor McDavid joins the Toronto Maple Leafs before November 1, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not join by that date. Readers often mistake the linked story about Kirill Marchenko as relevant, but only McDavid's team matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%