Stays with Indianapolis or Retires
Why it moved: −5 points at 16:27 UTC, after www.espn.com: Colts placing WR Pierce on IR to give him time to rehab heel injury — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 93% |
| 23 Sept, 16:27 UTC | 93% |
| 22 Sept, 15:44 UTC | 98% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Alec Pierce remains on an Indianapolis roster or retires before December 1, 2026. It resolves to No if he joins a different team after that date. Readers often mistake the placement on injured reserve for retirement, but this status does not count as retiring.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 93%
- No 7%