Miami
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$73k
Liquidity$73k
Resolves21 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 14 Oct, 03:08 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 07:48 UTC | 2% |
| 13 Oct, 02:07 UTC | 1% |
| 12 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 16:45 UTC | 1% |
| 12 Oct, 16:19 UTC | 6% |
| 11 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Oct, 21:06 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Oct, 15:40 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Oct, 03:32 UTC | 3% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Kyrie Irving signs with a Miami team before October 21, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not join a Miami team by that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for the start of the season rather than the specific October 21 cutoff.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%